Phillies Stay or Go Predictions Heading into 2020

JT Realmuto – Stay. There should be an extension this offseason.

Rhys Hoskins – Stay. He shouldn’t be looked at as the cleanup hitter, but you can’t move on from him just yet. 

Cesar Hernadez – Go. Cesar’s arbitration is set for around $11 million next year. He will not get that. I don’t know how much trade value he has either. I think he gets non-tendered this offseason and they make Scott Kingery the permanent second baseman. 

Jean Segura – Go. Jean has just under $45 million still left on his deal not including his team option in 2023. The Phillies drafted Bryson Stott in the first round last year and it seems like they want to fast track him to the big leagues. He should be ready by 2021. Maybe you keep Jean, but in my opinion he’s a well below average shortstop and he had his worst season of his career last year. I think Joe Girardi will have interest in bringing in Didi Gregorius as a stop gap for the next two years. The Phillies could and should trade Jean Segura. Another option is moving him to second and putting Kingery at third base. 

Maikel Franco – Go. Everyone is anticipating Franco to be gone. Third base next year will be held by either Anthony Rendon, Scott Kingery, Josh Donaldson or Todd Frazier. I think Bohm comes up in late June/July. 

Andrew McCutchen – Stay. Interested to see what McCutchen looks like after the ACL injury. Don’t think he will be ready at to play at the beginning of the year though. 

Odubel Herrera – Go. This better happen. 

Bryce Harper – Stay. 

Scott Kingery – Stay. Scott Kingery made strides in 2019 but since the end of June he hit in the .220s… He should be better next year possible as the everyday second baseman. 

Adam Haseley – Stay. The only player Matt Klentak has drafted and made an impact in the bigs so far. I’m penciling him in as the Opening Day starting center fielder. 

Jay Bruce – Go. I would trade Bruce in the offseason for anything possible. 

Andrew Knapp – Go. The Wendell Smallwood of the Phillies needs to go. Will he? Maybe with Joe here. 

Corey Dickerson – Stay. Corey Dickerson is probably the best all around hitter on the roster. He should be back next year. Platoon him in a rotation with Haseley and McCutchen once he’s ready to play. I don’t see a huge market for Dickerson this offseason. While he is a stud, he’s an injury prone left fielder that is 30. I think he will be fairly cheap. 

Brad Miller – Stay. He’s a great locker room guy and bench player. I’d bring him back. Also wouldn’t lose sleep if he’s elsewhere next year. 

Sean Rodriguez – Go. He might be the best pitcher on the roster, he’s just too privileged to stay. 

Roman Quinn – Stay. I’d keep 5 outfielders again. Roman is a stud when he’s healthy. Maybe you trade him, but who actually wants a sheet of glass in 2020? Girardi also talked highly about Quinn to the media. 

Nick Williams – Go. It’s a shame to see what happened to Nicky Dubs since his promising 2017 campaign. I don’t know if he has any trade value, he might be a AAA player ultimately. I think his agent, Scott Boras, will force a trade to happen. 

Logan Morrison – Go. Phillies can find another LoMo.

Phil Gosselin – Go. It was a fun story. 

Jose Pirela – Go. I didn’t know this was even a guy in the system until he got called up. 

Deivy Grullon – Go. I’d keep him over, but I’m also a believer in AAA stat lines meaning something though. Joe will probably want a new backup catcher here. 

Aaron Nola – Stay. 2019 Aaron Nola was a drastic disappointment. Need him to get back to the 2018 Nola. 

Nick Pivetta – Stay. Hopefully he can develop a third pitch and become a bullpen piece. He has talent as the great Jack Fritz will pound the table for.  

Jake Arrieta – Stay. This one hurts. Reality is no one is taking Jake ‘Bone Spurs’ Arrieta making $25 million next year. Hopefully he’s the fifth starter. Just give me 5 innings and 3 or less runs every fifth day. As for a trade maybe a team like the Angels takes a shot himif the Phillies include money. 

Zach Efflin – Stay. Eflin is a fine pitcher. He could be the Kyle Kendrick of this generation Phillies. 

Vince Velasquez – Go. Please, it is time. He’s 27. He’s not good. He never will be good. 

Jason Vargas – Go. This one feels good. 

Drew Smyly – Go. Phillies third best starter this year gets the boot. 

Jerad Eickhoff – Go. I don’t think the Phillies will offer Jerad arbitration. He will sign a minor league deal with the Astros and be the next Wade Miley.  

Austin Davis – Stay. He’ll stay on the 40-man most likely to eat innings in Lehigh Valley. Also the inevitable Austin Davis start will probably happen at least one time next year. 

Cole Irvin – Stay. He should be in Lehigh Valley next year. 

Hector Neris – Stay. One of the bright spots this year was Hector being a decent reliever that you can count on. He shouldn’t be the closer next year though.  

Jose Alvarez – Stay. Alvarez was awesome after the May last year. He’ll be here next year no question. 

Juan Nicasio – Go. There is no way Juan Nicasio is back. The only person that hates Juan Nicasio more than I is my dad. 

Adam Morgan – Stay. Hopefully Morgan can return the form he was at in the beginning of the season. 

Seranthony Dominguez – Stay. Like Morgan, hopefully Seranthony can come back strong. We haven’t heard anything about his recovery really. Hoping to have him back by at least June.  

Edgar Garcia – Stay. I saw talent in Edgar Garcia. I think he could progress into an actual bullpen piece. Would be a nice find for the Phillies.

Mike Morin – Go. Mike Morin was pretty bad as a Phillie in his short stint. No way he’s back. 

Blake Parker – Go. Like Mike Morin, there’s no way Blake Parker is back. 

Jared Hughes – Stay. The one guy Klentak picked up that I liked last year in the bullpen. I think Hughes is basically a lock to be here next year. 

Ranger Suarez – Stay. I don’t know if he’ll be on the 25-man to start the year, but I think he’ll be around. Maybe a possible trade chip in the offseason. 

Nick Vincent – Go. Nope. 

Tommy Hunter – Go. Love Tommy Hunter the guy, but I don’t think they will re-sign Hunter. 

Victor Arano – Stay. Another one of the key bullpen pieces that is coming back from injury. Would love to see Arano be the third lefty out of the pen. 

Pat Neshek – Go. Yeah, this has to happen. 

Robert Stock – Stay. Phillies just claimed him off waivers. I think he’ll be on the 40-man. Not sure about the 25-man to start the season.

David Robertson – Stay. He won’t pitch next year at all most likely. Tough one, but I had to put him on here. 

Overall I have the Phillies keeping 25 guys that were on the team last year and played in the big leagues. Of those 25 guys, I have 3 probably starting on the IL (Robertson, McCutchen and Dominguez) and 5 guys starting in the minor leagues (Davis, Irvin, Garcia, Suarez and Stock). The Phillies have 8 open roster spots on the 25-man roster to fill. Precisely; 2 starting pitching spots, 2 bullpen pieces, 1 outfielder, 1 backup catcher, 1 third baseman, and 1 short stop.

So far the Phillies have had a great offseason although last year a bunch of people including myself were saying the same thing. The reality is if the Phillies want to compete for a playoff spot in the National League they need to improve at basically every position other than right field, catcher and left field. There’s a bunch of work to be done. Here’s to another offseason jam-packed with rumors.

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(Photo Credit: Sports Illustrated’s Simon Bruty)

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